This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 03:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 65 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 4 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 10:53PM EDT until March 15 at 11:15PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
An estimated 310,404 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- March 16, 2026 · score 63 · 9.7 km
- August 9, 2026 · score 43 · 10.7 km
- March 16, 2026 · score 67 · 11.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 77% |
| Coordinates | 41.2575, -85.6877 |
| Nearest City | Goshen (38 km) |
| Population Exposed | 310.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T02:53:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.08d66aa714c0ed43456ae1785901b88b |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Kosciusko, IN; Noble, IN; Whitley, IN; Kosciusko, IN |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 10:53PM EDT until March 15 at 11:15PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T23:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Northern Indiana |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.08d66aa714c0ed43456ae1785901b88bbd1c33d9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4703a95c9056c138c648c0c5891682308f5e6c9f.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 67/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.